Tottenham - Cardiff O/U

I think this O/U market is slightly mispriced. Tottenham although sort of a top team doesn't score that many home goals, and actually have a negative ratio at home having scored just 15 goals in 13 matches and conceded 18. Cardiff's defence is leaking lots of goals but they aren't scoring many away from home either, just 7 in 13 matches. This has all the signs of a 1-0 or 2-0 home win so seeing the over 2.5 goals market at 1.79 looks like a good lay to me. It has been tough to get matched though, not much action yet as this is a Sunday match but I might get a few more quid matched and hopefully sold back in the low-mid eighties.