Port Vale are 4-1-1 for their 6 last Home Games. Swindon is 0-2-4 for their last 6 Away Games. 2 points separate the two teams in the League 1 table. Swindon P8 and Port Vale P9. Form is poor for the visitors, the team suffering a poor home defeat to Oldham. Initial markets price Port Vale as a 2.85 dog. I don't really understand this since Vale is a strong home team, and Swindon a rather weak away team, scoring just 10 points on the road so far this season. I've backed Port Vale for €100 @ 2.88 and expect to see the team steam during the week.
I also have a very small €8 bet om Monfils-Kubot @ 1.15, expect to trade out at 1.13 for a tiny tiny profit but that's all that got filled for me at my desired price.
UPDATE: Trade closed for a €4.50 profit no matter how the game ends. Possibly I could have gotten even more from this since odds dropped sharply during the night. Greened out @ 2.74 for a 14 ticks profit which is very a very good margin. Analysis seems to have been spot on as the favorite in the game has reversed with Swindon now traded as a 2.80ish dog.
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