söndag 16 februari 2014

Nottingham - Leicester

Bit of a tricky trade here. First backed Leicester at 2.98 for a fairly big €150 bet which was taken worringly fast. Then the match started trading in the 3.0-3.10 range mostly with quite small stakes. Decided to place a larger bet at 3.10 which was partly matched and to take everything small that surfaced on 3.05 to keep my big lay at 3.00 first in the queue. Bit of a risky strategy should the odds drift even more but I felt the risk was quite small given that Leicester is the team to beat in the Championship this year. Even if Nottingham is in fine form over 3 seemed a tiny bit too much. Below 33% for a team with 4-1-0 over their last five games and heads the table 10 points clear of P2 is just not right.

The strategy paid off and I eventually got my lay at 3 filled and brought home a quite petty €1 for the market. Had hopes for more but in trading greed is a deadly sin.

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