Norwich - Tottenham O/U

I've taken a quite big position @ 1.93 for under 2.5 goals in this match. Norwich both score and concede very few goals at home and Tottenham doesn't concede very many either. My calculation says that this price is very generous and could drop quite a bit come match day. Possibly the odds are inflated because of the 0-4 away win over Newcastle last week, but the Magpies have been horrible going 0-10 over their last 3 games. Terrible record so I'm thinking we shouldn't overestimate Spurs effort at St James'. I hope these odds should drop something like 10 points which would bring a huge profit, but we'll see as usual.

UPDATE: This went bad, for some reason odds just drifted out about 10 points which is a big loss for me. Will see how much I can save. Seems they might be coming back in a bit.

So far the week has been very positive. I've managed lots of smallish trades on both tennis and football, the type where you back something that feels a tad to high, get matched and then lay it all back 1 click lower and get on with it. Done quite well with those this week and it all adds up. Unless this Norwich trade goes completely wrong this should be, by far, my best week after two really poor weeks to start this new blog. 

UPDATE: Managed to save about €10 of my initial loss of €18 which it stood at when it was at it's worst point. Could back unders again at 2.10 for another €100 and lay it back at 2.04 so that saved about €6. Then I let part of the trade €20 ride at unders and sold it off over the first half of the game, which ended 0-0. Net result is a €8 loss for the market. Still completely confused to why the unders odds drifted out 17 points from Saturday to Sunday. That's a massive drift for no apparent reason, and the game will probably end under 2.5 which means I was right from the beginning. But second half is on now so we'll see. I won't trade this one anymore. 

UPDATE: Yes the game ended 1-0 which is slightly annoying when you lose money despite being right from the beginning.