tisdag 11 februari 2014

Motherwell - Partick

Sometimes there are some good stuff in the Scottish Premiership. All is not just Celtic, most of the time everyone expect them to win so there is rarely any value in backing them. I like this matchup however. Behind Celtic there is Aberdeen and Motherwell fighting for P2. Motherwell lost to Celtic which is acceptable, everyone does, and drew against Aberdeen. Partick is playing alot of draws lately, four from the five last games, but against much worse opponents. Last time the two teams met Motherwell won 1-5 away. Convincing enough now that they are the hosts of this match. I have my back for €200 at 1.86. Pinnacle opened their odds at 1.87 which is a miscalculation but the average odds are still just 1.76 for the home team and IMO this shouldn't be over 1.80 for the home win.

UPDATE: Another poor trade here. Motherwell picked up some first team injuries and when the news of this came out odds drifted quite badly from 1,86 up to starting odds of 2.06 or thereabouts. Didn't follow it all the way out but still a hefty €8 loss for the market. Motherwell still won 4-3.

Thankfully tennistrading has been decent and despite a horrid week I'm just €1 out of pocket, which is sort of a miracle. 

Inga kommentarer:

Skicka en kommentar