Tennis bets

Today had a surprising shortage of matches I liked. A few more tomorrow.

Istomin v. Kukuskin @ 2.31 - My model suggests favorites are mixed up. Istomin comes up a 1.75 favorite to win so this looks like good value.

Same thing for Bellucci v. Vesely @ 2.33 where I think bookies overestimate the "hot young prospect" but imo he has not really delivered and Bellucci is no slouch even if he can be very erratic in performances.

Lu comes up a slight fav v. Monaco but is avaliable @ 2.06. Lu is defending a runner up position in Auckland and looked decent in Chennai. Monaco lost to Kavcic in Doha. Not that impressive.

Garcia-Lopez is made a huge favorite, below 1.20 in my model, mainly because the sample on Schwartzman on hard is very small and very unimpressive. Still 1.36 seems to give too much credit  to this challenger-level clay courter.

UPDATE: all lost so far. Lu plays later. Too early to tell if my model is faulty or these are just surprise results.

Ok so Lu win atleast but 1 from 4 is too poor.