måndag 19 januari 2015

Tennis bets AO R2

Groth @ 1.75 over Kokkinakis ((Groth in 5)

Anderson/Berankis O38.5 @ 1,96 (LOSS)


Goffin/Baghdatis O37.5 @ 1,99 (LOSS)

Chardy @ 1.58 over Seppi (Estimated price 1.45) (LOSS)

Troicki @ 1.68 over Mayer (Estimated price 1.45) (Troicki wins in 4)

Verdasco @ 1.19 over Soeda (Estimated price 1.18) (Verdasco wins in 3)

Nieminen @ 1.78 over Bachinger (Estimated price 1.71) (Nieminen in 3)

Johnson @ 1.48 over Giraldo (Estimated price 1.44) (Johnson in 3)

Monfils @ 1.41 over Janowicz (Estimated price 1.26) (LOSS)

UPDATE: I need to stop making these over/under bets. My model doesn't really have a good way of predicting this. Instead I have been choosing my bets from matches where I get pretty even match-ups. Anderson was a favorite to win over Berankis but were too low and Berankis had been playing well + Anderson is a fairly weak returner. Goffin and Baghdatis showed Goffin a slight favorite but these are two weak servers with good ground games. Should be long but a 6-0 4th set for Baggers ruined my day. I'll stick with match bet's in the future. My model seems to come up with fairly decent results there and often quite close to real odds. Troicki over Mayer showed a very big difference between the 1.68 offered and 1.45 I got, but he won, and fairly easy.

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