Brighton v. Wigan - Lay (1) @ 2.36 Brighton didn't win any of their last five games. Wigan didn't lose any of theirs. Combined they have played 7 draws from the last 10 games. Wigan does have poor away stats this season but beat Derby 1-2 in their last match on the road. Can't quite see why odds shouldn't be quite a lot closer here. Expect Brighton to trade over 2.40 at some point.
UPDATE: Market liked Brighton. Made a double trade where I first placed a lay lower @ 2.30 which was taken and then traded off some juice at 2.34 which further reduced my liability. In the end I had to take a €-0.5 loss selling of my last position at 2.30.
Birmingham v. Waford - Back (2) @ 2.28 Watford are at the top of the table. Birmingham did well to rebound with a goal less draw v. Wolves after a shocking 0-8 defeat at home in the hands of Bournemouth. Watford won the last 4 H-H and draws away to fellow top team Middlesbrough and and the strong home side of Nottingham are acceptable. Birmingham picked up only five points at home this season and when Watford comes to visit they are likely to take another loss. I'm looking to cash out in the low 2.20's.
UPDATE: Seemed to go the wrong way. Out at the same price.
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