Pre match trades

This time I seem to have found everything moving in the wrong direction with pin point accuracy.

Plymouth v. Portsmouth - Back (1) @ 2.26: Plymouth are P6 with a 6-1-1 home record and 3-2-0 from their last five games. A 1-1 away draw to Burton is very acceptable. Portsmouth had a few tough matches losing to Shrewsbury and Bury and their wins v. Carlisle and Stevenege are expected. They are 2-1-2 last five, and 1-3-4 on the road this season. A fairly weak away team playing a very strong home team. I'd expect odds closer to 2.15 than 2.30 in a match like this. Market seems to think otherwise atm, but it could correct itself when the big money comes in tomorrow. Still low volumes.

UPDATE: Well it bounced back down to 2.26 and I opted out. +-0 from this trade.

Coventry v. Notts Co - Lay (1) @ 2.16: Coventry are 1-1-3 from their last five. P19 in the league table. Decent home record 4-2-2. Notts lost to Walsall last match, which was unfortunate but won their previous 4. They are undefeated on the road this season boasting 4 wins and 3 draws. I see no reason why a weak team like Coventry should give Notts their first away loss and expected odds closer to 2.30, market again thought otherwise.

UPDATE: Had a chance to get out at 2.14 and took it. I'll get a small €-1,50 loss from this market. Could have been alot worse!

Lesson learned. Don't enter small markets too soon. Don't panic when low volumes of money push the market the wrong way. See it as an opportunity to buy.