måndag 24 november 2014

Pre match trades

Swansea v. Crystal Palace - Lay Swansea @ 1,82
I don't think that Swansea deserve to be a 55% favorite. Swansea are not all that great and CP are no whipping boys.

Update: Selling off at 1.84-1.85. I had hoped for a bigger drift but it's something. 

Kidderminster v. Wrexham - Back Kidderminster @ 2.20
Home team in good form. Wrexham haven't won for five matches. Should be moved closer to 2.10 or hopefully even lower tomorrow.

Update: Sold off some at 2.14 will try some more at 2.1. Looking quite good. 
Update2: Out at 2.10 which was slightly too soon. Trading at 2.04 now. Still €7 in the bank.

 Macclesfield v. Torquay - Lay Torquay @ 2.50
Dunno what the odds makers are going on about here. Macclesfield are undefeated for their last 5 matches and with HFA. They are P4 in the league and have not lost at home all season. Torquay P10, playing away. They did beat Barnet away a few rounds ago but followed it up with two less than impressive draws. I would price this the other way around.

Update: Started selling off Torquay at 2.6 in small steps should it go higher.
Update2: Gone totally mad it's down to 2.30 now, probably Macclesfield has collective bird-flu or something. I got some sold at 2.6 which kind of saves my day but I had to sell a bit at 3.36 and I will be €5 down on this one. 

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