Federer - Raonic

I tried to get matched on Federer at 1.45 and I did get some of my stake taken. Fed started a 1.31  favorite v. Wawrinka. Too low odds IMO and the match could have ended differently but from the second set there was clearly something wrong with Wawrinka and Fed won in four sets. Wawrinka is a better player than Raonic but the Canadian's serve is really dangerous on the grass. Could be a few points here and there in the breakers that decide this match and those kinds of matches where a superior player (Federer) is up against a very big server with poorish return game (Raonic) are usually priced in the mid 1.30's. I like a margin for error so I came up with 1.45 as a price I considered both safe and possible to get matched. Acutally my €45 are the highest traded bets at this market with some margin. Market seems to like 1.39-1.40 so I got 3-4% higher odds and that is about what one can expect to have matched in this kind of well analyzed match. That's why it's so difficult to find the line between not getting matched, getting matched for a winning trade and getting matched for a losing trade. It's really just a few odds steps between the three possible outcomes of a placed bet. This one will earn €2 thanks to the low amount matched.