First Red Week

This looks like my first week with a loss on Sunday evening. I just can't believe how every possible thing has turned the wrong way for me this week. It started off badly with Errani v. Jankovic. I had Errani as a small favorite to win the match (which she did in straights) but market traded her up to 2.12 and I had to take a €12 red on both players.

Then I was right on but Muguruza v. Sharapova, Suarez-Navarro v. Bouchard and Murray v. Verdasco but didn't get my full stakes matched so the profits were very small.

Ok then came Halep v. Kuznetsova. I'm really impressed with Halep and had her as a big favorite v. Kuznetsova. Similar styles but Halep is the better version and that usually ends only in one way. Backed Halep heavily for 1.43 only to see odds rise to 1.47 before match start, again I had to red out and Halep won 62 62.

Got it right laying Murray at 1.50 v. Monfils and trading out at 1.55, but once again my full stake wasn't matched and profit stayed at €4.

Made a live trade work on Sharapova - Bouchard backing Maria a break down in the first set. She had started slow before and then come back and that's what happened here as well. Live I only do small stakes so €3 profit.

Next disaster, Halep - Petkovic. Seing how the market disliked Halep v. Kuznetsova and how Petkovic crushed Errani who has a similar playing style I found 1.29 on Halep quite short. Wrong again. Odds turned down to 1.26, back up slightly to 1.27-1.28. Red out again and this time I had placed a huge lay (because it's cheaper to lay at low odds) so the loss was quite big. I could trade live and save €4 but I still had to take a €14 loss on the market.

So more or less all trades I was wrong had the worst possible result and when I was right my stakes were not taken in full. It's normal to win some and lose some that's not a problem but it becomes one when the winning trades are too small because market moves in the right direction at the wrong time, meaning before my stake was matched.