Blackpool - Bournemouth

There are good ones and bad ones. This looks to be a bad one. Got my estimates for this match all wrong. Blackpool is in bad form with just three draws from the last ten games, however they are decent at home and plays kind of tight. Bournemouth aren't great either. They beat Doncaster 5-0 last match but Doncaster is a terrible team at the moment especially on the road. My logic was that one great game doesn't suddenly make Bournemouth a form team. Bournemouth are also kind of bad playing away, only Millwall have conceded more goals and they aren't scoring to many either and have won just three of fifteen away games.

With this information I compiled a line that read something like 2,60-3,30-3,00 and obviously placed a lay at 2.94 to trade out around 3ish or so. Bookies' first lines also gave confirmation to this and opened close to what I had expected. Thankfully I'm not this far off very often, but odds are now sort of reversed at 3,00-3,30-2,60 which is quite an expensive thing for me. Right now I'm set to lose €8 for the market but I hope to do some short trades and scalps later in the week and get some of that back. However it will certainly end in a quite significant loss unless the odds miraculously swing all the way back, but that's extremely unlikely to happen.