Wednesday

3 Euros on Radwanska. 6.5 on Owner. Pennies on the WTA live markets. About 10 EUR today, that's atleast something.

Wednesday

3 Euros on Radwanska. 6.5 on Owner. Pennies on the WTA live markets. About 10 EUR today, that's atleast something.

Tuesday Rage

Good last week and now it's up hill again. Can't seem to catch a break even when I'm right. So here's the story. Sunday night. I'm checking the markets. Nieminen looks good v. Gabashvili. Healthy 3-0 in the hh. Niemo coming from a ch-final where he lost to insanely in form Goffin. No shame in that. Gabashvili chronically unreliable especially in early rounds. Ok he did some damage in Umag and beat Båstad finalist Sousa on the way to a QF-exit v. Cuevas. Still Niemo should be a healthy fav in my book. Backed him where odds were in the low 1.70s. Noticed over night that odds seem to drift away on Niemo for no apparent reason. So i tried a stop loss in the high 1.70's. Had about 1/4 of my stake taken then it raced upwards again. Had about 1/4 of the remaining stake taken in the mid 1.80's. Getting expensive here! Had to close it out in the high 1.80's to take a €20 loss. Only to see Niemo win the match in straight sets 64 64. Just as I predicted he would. Somehow it would have been easier to take it if Gabashvili had crushed Niemo with a 63 61 scoreline or so. Atleast then I was wrong and paid the price. This just pisses me off.

w.24

So after two bad weeks with red digits Sunday evening I have profits to report. A quite solid one of these in the bank this week.

 

That brings up a new ATH on the Betfair account. €835.

Saturday

Yesterday was mixed fortunes. I won €3 on Cilic v. Rosol and lost the same ammount on Robredo v. Carreno-Busta. Then I had a live trade on Fognini v. Coric and got myself a €1 pay check laying Coric at the right time before he got broken back in the second set.

I also had €0.50 on both WTA semi finals in Baku.

Best trade this week is Fognini v. Cuevas. The Fog didn't look great last night but got the job done. Cuevas has looked great for a long time. Odds 1.62 on the Italian looked like an obvious lay and I could sell evertything back at 1.65 for a €5 win. Then the market continued up so I missed out on some profit there but better safe than sorry. This is looking like a good week so far and I don't want to spoil it again with a reckless weekend trade like last week.

Wednesday

Closed a small win on Mladenovic v. Vekic. Backed the Frenchwoman at 1.76 and hoped to get out at low 70's. That failed and I didn't get my full stake take either so that's €1.

I'm on Schiavone at 1.31 v. Glushko. Not my full stake but something like €110. Trying to get out at 1.27. Market very inactive, match is played tomorrow but highest odds with bookies are now down to 1.25 so I'm not too worried about low activity.

Looks like I have to take a small loss on Cirstea v. Voegele. I backed Cirstea at 1.61. She's the higher ranked player, leads the h-h 4-0 and Voegele is not playing that well atm. In the previous matches Cirstea never started higher than 1.54 favorite. Still market seems to have decided to go a few ticks up so I'll try to activate a stop loss here at 1.63 and get out of the trade with as small red as possible.

Also trying to back Isner v. Ginepri. The tall one loves Atlanta and should cruise in this one. I've got a big back bet in the low 1.20  and I believe the market should trade below 1.20 before the match tomorrow.

(Update) Green on Schiavone €4.

Cuevas v. Delic

Another good trade in the making. That's two this week. I noticed odds on the Cuevas v. Delic market had slightly come in from 1.29 to 1.28. Avg bookies odds at 1.25. Betfair 1.30. That's normally a little too close for me but I felt there would be strong support for Cuevas who won the title in Båstad and then qualified for the md in Umag without dropping a set. Luckily had my full €300 stake taken at 1.31 and immediately placed a lay bet at 1.29. Almost all taken by now and it should be a win in the €5 region on both players.