Saturday

Yesterday was mixed fortunes. I won €3 on Cilic v. Rosol and lost the same ammount on Robredo v. Carreno-Busta. Then I had a live trade on Fognini v. Coric and got myself a €1 pay check laying Coric at the right time before he got broken back in the second set.

I also had €0.50 on both WTA semi finals in Baku.

Best trade this week is Fognini v. Cuevas. The Fog didn't look great last night but got the job done. Cuevas has looked great for a long time. Odds 1.62 on the Italian looked like an obvious lay and I could sell evertything back at 1.65 for a €5 win. Then the market continued up so I missed out on some profit there but better safe than sorry. This is looking like a good week so far and I don't want to spoil it again with a reckless weekend trade like last week.

Wednesday

Closed a small win on Mladenovic v. Vekic. Backed the Frenchwoman at 1.76 and hoped to get out at low 70's. That failed and I didn't get my full stake take either so that's €1.

I'm on Schiavone at 1.31 v. Glushko. Not my full stake but something like €110. Trying to get out at 1.27. Market very inactive, match is played tomorrow but highest odds with bookies are now down to 1.25 so I'm not too worried about low activity.

Looks like I have to take a small loss on Cirstea v. Voegele. I backed Cirstea at 1.61. She's the higher ranked player, leads the h-h 4-0 and Voegele is not playing that well atm. In the previous matches Cirstea never started higher than 1.54 favorite. Still market seems to have decided to go a few ticks up so I'll try to activate a stop loss here at 1.63 and get out of the trade with as small red as possible.

Also trying to back Isner v. Ginepri. The tall one loves Atlanta and should cruise in this one. I've got a big back bet in the low 1.20  and I believe the market should trade below 1.20 before the match tomorrow.

(Update) Green on Schiavone €4.

w. 23

Red digits for the second week in a row. Had a terrible trading weekend with three quite massive losses to erase all hard work and then some. Got the Båstad WTA final right but wrong. I had Barthel as a favorite and backed her at 1.70 and she went on to win the title v. Scheepers in straight sets. Problem was market traded Barthel all the way up to 1.80 and beyond so I had to get out with a pretty bad loss there.

Then I have to blame Norway for stealing money off their poorer brothers in the east. I liked Strömsgodset to beat Vålerenga (they didn't) because they are a very strong home team. Had to get out with €6 red on both teams. Then I also liked Odd to beat Haugesund (again they didn't) and I lost €8. Atleast the weekend ended with some positives. I bet on Hammarby to beat Öster in the Swedish second division. Backed the home team at 1.56 and traded out just before kick off at 1.52 to secure €5.

When I sum things up I was €-6 this week and the live trading contributed with about €4 so it could have been even worse. Pre match trading didn't work at all last week. But you can't win them all. I've already secured my first €5 this week on Gilles Simon v. Pablo Andujar. Match played tomorrow. Backed Simon at 1.70 last night. Traded out 1.65 this morning. Money while I sleep. I like it.

Cuevas v. Lindell, Johnson v. Ito

The young Swede did well to beat Cervantes in R1 although that had more to do with the terrible level of play from the Spaniard than supreme class from Lindell. For example Cervantes served 8 double faults in 9 service games. Lindell played the way one can expect from a player ranked outside the top 400. Mixing good shots with quite simple errors, in general though he was much more consistent and patient than Cervantes and it paid off.

Cuevas is a whole different beast. He's quickly coming back into the top 100 after solid results on clay this year and he was once a top 50 player. As a Swede I hope I'm proven wrong and that Lindell can cause another upset but I think it's time for a reality check. I could back Cuevas at a market high 1.17 last night and traded out at 1.14 for a €8 win.

I also backed the in form American Steve Johnson at 1.44 last night to beat Ito of Japan. Had part of my lay taken at 1.37 and is waiting to close out the rest of the trade. Should be a win of over €10 if I can get the rest of my lay taken at 1.37. I've got until 5 pm so I can wait.

Rain interrupted play all day in Stuttgart and I could shave off €2 from my loss on Gimeno v. Gojowczyk with a quick scalp. Still a bad loss for me though.

W21

Quite a tidy week. I made a total of 7 trades which is quite few but that's how it is during the second week of a slam. All 7 trades were winners which is nice. Profit was not great but a fairly average €14. Bank is increasing and that's the important thing.

So far during this week I've already secured a €5 profit on Eriksson v. Lorenzi, €2 on Mayer v. Berrer and €0.5 on Berlocq v. Reister. I'm also active in the Gojowczyk v. Gimeno market but have yet to close the trade. Match is tomorrow so there is plenty of time.