Saturday

Yesterday was mixed fortunes. I won €3 on Cilic v. Rosol and lost the same ammount on Robredo v. Carreno-Busta. Then I had a live trade on Fognini v. Coric and got myself a €1 pay check laying Coric at the right time before he got broken back in the second set.

I also had €0.50 on both WTA semi finals in Baku.

Best trade this week is Fognini v. Cuevas. The Fog didn't look great last night but got the job done. Cuevas has looked great for a long time. Odds 1.62 on the Italian looked like an obvious lay and I could sell evertything back at 1.65 for a €5 win. Then the market continued up so I missed out on some profit there but better safe than sorry. This is looking like a good week so far and I don't want to spoil it again with a reckless weekend trade like last week.

Wednesday

Closed a small win on Mladenovic v. Vekic. Backed the Frenchwoman at 1.76 and hoped to get out at low 70's. That failed and I didn't get my full stake take either so that's €1.

I'm on Schiavone at 1.31 v. Glushko. Not my full stake but something like €110. Trying to get out at 1.27. Market very inactive, match is played tomorrow but highest odds with bookies are now down to 1.25 so I'm not too worried about low activity.

Looks like I have to take a small loss on Cirstea v. Voegele. I backed Cirstea at 1.61. She's the higher ranked player, leads the h-h 4-0 and Voegele is not playing that well atm. In the previous matches Cirstea never started higher than 1.54 favorite. Still market seems to have decided to go a few ticks up so I'll try to activate a stop loss here at 1.63 and get out of the trade with as small red as possible.

Also trying to back Isner v. Ginepri. The tall one loves Atlanta and should cruise in this one. I've got a big back bet in the low 1.20  and I believe the market should trade below 1.20 before the match tomorrow.

(Update) Green on Schiavone €4.

w. 23

Red digits for the second week in a row. Had a terrible trading weekend with three quite massive losses to erase all hard work and then some. Got the Båstad WTA final right but wrong. I had Barthel as a favorite and backed her at 1.70 and she went on to win the title v. Scheepers in straight sets. Problem was market traded Barthel all the way up to 1.80 and beyond so I had to get out with a pretty bad loss there.

Then I have to blame Norway for stealing money off their poorer brothers in the east. I liked Strömsgodset to beat Vålerenga (they didn't) because they are a very strong home team. Had to get out with €6 red on both teams. Then I also liked Odd to beat Haugesund (again they didn't) and I lost €8. Atleast the weekend ended with some positives. I bet on Hammarby to beat Öster in the Swedish second division. Backed the home team at 1.56 and traded out just before kick off at 1.52 to secure €5.

When I sum things up I was €-6 this week and the live trading contributed with about €4 so it could have been even worse. Pre match trading didn't work at all last week. But you can't win them all. I've already secured my first €5 this week on Gilles Simon v. Pablo Andujar. Match played tomorrow. Backed Simon at 1.70 last night. Traded out 1.65 this morning. Money while I sleep. I like it.

Example of live trading strategy

I identified the match Nara v. Vinci as a good candidate to do my live trading strategy I wrote about this morning. Nara a quite week server. Vinci a good returner who will get everything back, often with interest. Surprisingly Vinci drifted alot pre match from 1.45ish to 1.57 at match start. Nara served first. I backed Vinci at said price for €7.50 as you see, small stakes. Vinci broke immidiately and indeed moved on to bagel Nara in the first set. I got out after the first game though. Layed at 1.28 and secured €1.75 on both girls. Was active in the market for about 1 minute.