I've said for a couple of weeks now that I need to up my game because I'm getting into way to many bad trades and making bad decisions to make things worse. The French Open couldn't have started much worse.
For my R1 bankers I chose Gasquet (v. Tomic) because Gasquet should be fit after a 7 week injury lay off. There were positive signs I managed to decipher from his french website using my 14 year old largely unused skills in french and some Google Translate and most tennis fans know Tomic is quite terrible on anything but Australian hard courts and that accounts for about three weeks of the year. Clay is a bad surface for him and Gasquet is playing in France so 1.30 seemed to be quite a good bet for the frenchman. Obviously I was wrong and market traded up to 1.34, apparently paying more attention to Gasquet's two month old injury than to the fact that his opponent can't beat the likes of Victor Estrella on clay in M1000 competition. Red for €5 and Gasquet won in straight sets.
My other banker was Berlocq (v. Hewitt). Last time the former world number one did anything good on clay was in Houston five years ago. Over the last four seasons he's won twice on the surface. No not two tournaments, two matches, the last one being a hard fought victory over Canadian Peter Polansky who has won exactly 1 main draw match on clay over the last five seasons. Ok I'm not being nice now but sometimes the markets are just rubbish. Berlocq on the other hand has won twice, yes two tournaments on clay over the last 12 months, last one in Oeiras just a few weeks ago. He's the archetype of a clay courter and should easily routine Hewitt. 1,32 good bet? No! Market rose to 1.35 and I had to get out with a €3 red. Berlocq started slow and lost the first set but then won in four.
I have two winning trades as well, which is nice but I'm in a quite bad mood so I'll only say that I secured a €4 profit on Niculescu (v. Ormachea) and €7.5 on Garcia-Lopez (v. Mannarino). That pretty much puts me back to 0 for the week and again I've done all this work for nothing.
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