I've closed all trades on the Monaco GP. After FP2 I placed a lay on Alonso for at 19. The Ferrari driver finished on top but it was a strange session where rain and timing played a crucial role in deciding the outcome. The Merc drivers didn't get clean laps at the dry track towards the end and Alonso did. Market overreacted and I could buy back my stake at 25 a few hours later. Net result €6 no matter who wins on Sunday.
Also grabbed a bet on the WTA match between Puig and Keys. Traditional bookies had odds placed even for this Semi final. Betfair had Keys as a very slight favorite. All my calculations pointed towards Puig as a marginal ~ 1.90 favorite so I backed her heavily at evens. Sadly with all trades that have gone bad lately I couldn't keep my cool and so badly wanted to secure a green so I settled for a lay at 1.98 when the market began to swing in Puig's favor. Then it continued all the way down to 1.90 and she won the match in straight sets. Should have gotten at least double up from the €5.5 I actually won but it could just as well have been 3 or 4 times that had I only been more confident.
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