Norwich - WBA U2.5

Norwich are always tight at home and WBA are in quite poor form so I expect this to be a low scoring match. I have average odds on unders at 1.785 and hope to back higher and lay lower

Stevenage - Wolves

Like Leicester Wolves has bounced back strongly and now faces Stevenage away. Should be a pretty comfortable win so I backed them for €200 @1.73. Odds then moved out and I backed them again €50 at 1.78 before odds came back down. Could lay off all my liability at 1.72 for another €3 profit.

Wigan - Leicester

Leicester bounced back and beat Burnley last match. Good way to regroup after poor performances. Wigan has cooled off slightly so I expected Leicester's price to fall. Backed them at 2.72 and got about €100 matched and layed it back for 2.64 and a €3 profit. Not much but something.

W8

New Record. Profits during this week €32. Worth noting that this was only my second week with 100% successful trades and no losing ones. Keeping losses to a minimum is more important than getting every last cent out of every trade.

Notts Co. - Colchester

Much better form for the home team. Backed them for 2.22 and have a lay at 2.18 waiting to be taken. Shouldn't be too long. Already earned €18 this week all Saturday's games uncounted so this could very well be a new record for me this week.

QPR - Blackpool

Placed a bet for QPR at 1.67 a couple of days ago but didn't have it matched. Was almost ready to give up but this morning at 5am it was taken. Probably some drunk Blackpool-fan coming home from a bar or something. I placed a lay at 1.65 immidiately when I got up this morning and was matched within 30 minutes. €2.5. Good week so far.

Burnley - Leicester

P2 v. P1 in the Championship. The home team, Burnley, have won four of their last five and are undefeated at home. Away team Leicester are 3 points clear at the top of the table but have just scored two 1-1 draws from their last two matches v midfield team Blackburn and Relegation candidates Yeovil. That's quite poor form so it's surprising to see a very strong, in form home team be priced as a 3.10 dog in this type of match and the away team with at least some question marks over their form curve favored at 2.60. If I made the lines I would price both teams to win at around 2.80 and forced to choose between them I'd go for Burnley. I have a standard sized back for Burnley at 3.10. Market seems to be testing the 3.00 resistance now and hopefully it will break through. If it does I think it could be a quick ride to 2.90 but hopefully it will go all the way down to 2.80 but I don't really believe that myself. We'll see tomorrow or worst case on Saturday but it's generally better to be out come match day when you're a small fish like me.

UPDATE: Didn't go exactly according to plan. There has only been a few trades at 2.98 but I'm out at 3.00 which, given the rather large amount I wagered at 3.10 still results in a €6.50 profit. Hoped for more but greed is the worst enemy.