Monaco - Lorenzi (LIVE)

Lorenzi continues to pay well. Layed him after breaking to start the third set. Just felt like this would be one of those sets where breaks were traded back and forth after two tiebreak sets. Monaco broke back immediately and I greened out for another €2.

Wolves - Port Vale

Wow now things are really happening. Found this match after deleting a few unmatched bets where odds had gone too far out of the zone I wanted to get involved in. Wolves are on a nice winning streak while Port Vale have lost 3 of their last 5 games. 1.51 for Wolves at home looks like a very good bet to me. €190 matched at 1.51. I hope to lay off this in the mid 1.40's.

UPDATE: Mission accomplished. Layed of at 1.46 for a €6.5 profit on all outcomes. Good one!

Lorenzi - Dutra Silva (LIVE)

Quick live bet. Was pondering a straight bet on Lorenzi pre match but thought 1.55 was a little short. Dutra Silva came into this match after winning twice in a row as a dog and playing in his home town... nah. Dutra broke serve to lead 2-1 in the first set. Odds on Lorenzi moved up to 2.12 which I backed for €10 (my maximum risk for live bets) and then Lorenzi broke right back so I could sell everything back at 1.60. €2 on both players for a minutes' work.

Nottingham - Wigan

Saw Wigan priced at 3.55 early this week which seemed way too high for such a quality team even if Forest is in good form. Had about a tenner matched and quickly sold back at 3.40. Then the market popped back up again and I got another fiver matched which I'm trying to sell back at 3.35 which I think is the fair odds for this market. Overall it's been a difficult week to get matched but I've learned the hard way it's better to stay cool and rather not get matched at all than to take a worse price just to get in the market.

Atalanta - Chievo

Atalanta is usually a quite solid home team in the Serie A, winning 7 of 12 home games. Chievo has a completely different record away losing 7 of 13 winning just 2. Atalanta seems to be too high at 2.18 where I'm backing them. It's been tough to get matched here as well and so far I've only had €30 taken. This one should go down a little on Saturday or Sunday.

Tottenham - Cardiff O/U

I think this O/U market is slightly mispriced. Tottenham although sort of a top team doesn't score that many home goals, and actually have a negative ratio at home having scored just 15 goals in 13 matches and conceded 18. Cardiff's defence is leaking lots of goals but they aren't scoring many away from home either, just 7 in 13 matches. This has all the signs of a 1-0 or 2-0 home win so seeing the over 2.5 goals market at 1.79 looks like a good lay to me. It has been tough to get matched though, not much action yet as this is a Sunday match but I might get a few more quid matched and hopefully sold back in the low-mid eighties.

W3

Week three is over and despite the big loss on O/U Norwich - Tottenham today it's my best so far and the first one where I achieved the goal of earning 2% yield on my bank with a €11 result.