Pre match trade Fulham v. Blackpool

Fulham are certainly not setting the world on fire but Blackpool are terrible. They have bagged 6 points from 15 games, losing 11 of them. I'd suspect some backers will like Fulham with the argument that they might not be great but surely much much better than Blackpool.

Back (1) @ 1.60

Live trade Zaragoza v. Tenerife

Did this one last night. Didn't have time to post then.

Layed Zaragoza for 50:- @ 2.24 before kick off and sold off when Tenerife scored an early goal. €2 profit.

Pre match Leeds v. Charlton

Really quick one. Layed Leeds @ 2.34 and  sold of at 2.38 almost immidiately.

€2 profit.

Live trade Torpedo Moscow v. Arsenal Tula

Drift on the home team pre match. Lay Torpedo for 50 @ 2.24.

Gradually sold off my position up to 2.70 30 minutes into the match.

Win 5.50:-

Pre match trades

Brighton v. Wigan - Lay (1) @ 2.36 Brighton didn't win any of their last five games. Wigan didn't lose any of theirs. Combined they have played 7 draws from the last 10 games. Wigan does have poor away stats this season but beat Derby 1-2 in their last match on the road. Can't quite see why odds shouldn't be quite a lot closer here. Expect Brighton to trade over 2.40 at some point.

UPDATE: Market liked Brighton. Made a double trade where I first placed a lay lower @ 2.30 which was taken and then traded off some juice at 2.34 which further reduced my liability. In the end I had to take a €-0.5 loss selling of my last position at 2.30.

Birmingham v. Waford - Back (2) @ 2.28 Watford are at the top of the table. Birmingham did well to rebound with a goal less draw v. Wolves after a shocking 0-8 defeat at home in the hands of Bournemouth. Watford won the last 4 H-H and draws away to fellow top team Middlesbrough and and the strong home side of Nottingham are acceptable. Birmingham picked up only five points at home this season and when Watford comes to visit they are likely to take another loss. I'm looking to cash out in the low 2.20's.

UPDATE: Seemed to go the wrong way. Out at the same price.

Kelly bet Mönchengladbach v. Hoffenheim

Back (1) @ 1.90 5:-

UPDATE: Home win 3-1 

Pre match trades

Hamilton v. Partick - Back (1) @ 1.90
UPDATE: Miscalculation here. For some reason I'm yet to understand table leaders Hamilton playing at home v. P9 placed Partick traded up quite alot from 1.90 which seemed generous to start with. Hamilton 3-1-1 from the last 5 games and at home this season. Partick is 1-1-3 and only managed one draw on the road all season. It's strictly not part of the trading strategy but I'm so convinced Hamilton will win that I will cash out to leave all the red on X2 and +-0 on the home team. The difference is either -€18 on all selections or -€35 on X2 and it seems worth the bet somehow.
UPDATE2: Hamilton took an early 2-0 lead and I laid off some of my money but still left a bigger red on X2. Stupid as it turned out. The match ended 3-3. Lost €18 on this one. 


Dundee v. St. Mirren - Back (1) @ 1.88 UPDATE: Lay @ 1.87 to win €1
Rochdale v. Preston - Back (2) @ 2.48 UPDATE: Lay @ 2.50 to lose €1.50
Notts County v. Walsall - Back (1) @ 2.82 UPDATE: Lay @ 2.78 to win €2