Finally back again. I've had much to do over the last weeks, work and family related stuff and I've only managed to squeeze in some time to do a few pre match soccer trades. It's been going fairly well with a close to 85% number of trades won and only small losses on the 15% trades that moved in the wrong direction.
I've found two bets from Miami:
Sock @ 1.55 over Thiem (est. price 1.44) I much more like Sock and especially playing in the US he's really good. From my spreadsheet I get prices in the 1.35-1.44 range so there should be value here.
46 36 - Poor from Sock today. Thiem was great though.
Isner +1,5 set @ 1.54 over Dimitrov - My spreadsheet actually shows Isner to be a very slight favorite in this match. He's been sort of out of form so I don't dare back him to actually win the match, but he should definitely be able to snatch a set. Also I suspect my raw data on Dimitrov might not be 100% correct he seems to come up a little too low on his hold-break ratio for his qualities so I want a margin of safety.
76 62 - Ok little too conservative. Isner won in straights so I should have been better paid here.
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