Monthly trading update

Not much activity this month on the blog but I have been busy doing my usual trading. It's just that it's pretty ill suited for blogging since I can really only report on my trades once they are done. March was very successful and yielded €86 profit which is a new record. Just under 50% of this is from one very lucky trade early in the month where I was matched on a very very good price on a match from a lower league and then could trade out with a big profit. I guess someone out there suffered from fat fingers or whatever but I'm happy.

The rest of the month was very quiet trading. About 85% of my trades were wins which is very good and shows my match selection and odds predicting method is working well. In total I only had €9 losses, that is around 10% of my total winnings this month were lost which is also very good and means I did well in cutting losses short. Excluding the one off big win I made about €10 every week which is my target. Trading bank has increased to €880.

Tennis bets

Finally back again. I've had much to do over the last weeks, work and family related stuff and I've only managed to squeeze in some time to do a few pre match soccer trades. It's been going fairly well with a close to 85% number of trades won and only small losses on the 15% trades that moved in the wrong direction.

I've found two bets from Miami:

Sock @ 1.55 over Thiem (est. price 1.44) I much more like Sock and especially playing in the US he's really good. From my spreadsheet I get prices in the 1.35-1.44 range so there should be value here.
46 36 - Poor from Sock today. Thiem was great though.

Isner +1,5 set @ 1.54 over Dimitrov - My spreadsheet actually shows Isner to be a very slight favorite in this match. He's been sort of out of form so I don't dare back him to actually win the match, but he should definitely be able to snatch a set. Also I suspect my raw data on Dimitrov might not be 100% correct he seems to come up a little too low on his hold-break ratio for his qualities so I want a margin of safety.

76 62 - Ok little too conservative. Isner won in straights so I should have been better paid here.

Monthly trading update

Another quite decent month of trading. February started off well but then I entered a slump and took some losses in the middle of the month. The worst one set me back almost €20 when a market very suddenly shifted ALOT in the wrong direction. Could be bad luck, could be that it had been too easy in January and early February and that caused me to relax and not be careful enough in selecting my trades.

Come the end of the month things shaped up again and I had a few good wins during the last week and a half. I'm up €42 for the month and €102 since the beginning of the year. I have to be happy with this and keep on working in March.