W.28

Another very low key week for me. The timing with all the tournaments in the US is troublesome for my way of trading. Usually there's nothing in the markets when I go to bed. And when I get up they're all settled in and there's not much movement left in them, with a few exceptions of course but on the whole it's much better when matches are played in Europe or Asia. Opening odds are out when I go to bed (Europe) and I can take positions over night. Or during the day (Asia) and I can take and close positions during waking hours. Two more weeks of USO and they should be headed back to this side which will make things easier. Also a few more weeks should give me a decent idea of the European football leagues. As for now it's another €5 from two trades early in the week.

w.27

A tad late but here's last week's report. It wasn't much to be honest. I got back to work after the holidays and I haven't really had much time to trade. Still it was mostly successful even if volumes were low. A €7 profit for the week was the result of my efforts and that also makes it a new ATH. Yay! Or something...

w26

Not much happened this week. I started work again which took some time and focus away from trading. I also just didn't get matched much which is kind of frustrating when you put in the time. Usual case this week: I find a good match to trade and decide I want to bet at 1.45 when market is fresh and looks something like back (a tiny amount) at 1.38 and lay 1.46. Then someone places a bet before me at 1.44. I decide to cut down to 1.43. When I get back to the computer money is matched at 1.42 and market is trading at 1.35. Similar things happened alot to me this week and that why all I have to say is that I made a mere €5 this week. Hopefully better luck next week. In a few weeks time I should be able to trade the English League Championship which is my favorite league to trade. Just need a little more data on the teams this year, how they are priced, how they perform etc. Until then I'll have to do with Swedish football and Tennis.

Berdych & Radwanska

-1 euro on the Czech after a good save after a miscalculation. Layed TB at 1.51 v. Lopez. He struggled v. Lu and I thought the market would punish him. Stop loss at 1.49 back at 1.49 lay at 1.47.

Lay bet on aRad 1.68 small stake taken v. Lisicki out at 1.77. Shame I couldn't get more money matched.

Chardy - Tsonga

First big win this week. €6 on this match. Placed a lay bet on Tsonga last night at 1.32. Odds on Tsonga drifted v. Vasselin (who he owned 7-0 in the HH) prior to the R1 match and I had to take a small loss on the market. Obviously Chardy is a tougher opponent and Tsonga leads a narrow 2-1 in the HH. Starting odds (1.31) were roughly the same where the market turned for the Vasselin match. Odds had to rise. All of it were taken during the night and market remained stable back 1.32 - lay 1.33. I decided to leave it. Confident as I was and only a small amount was traded, most of it was my money actually. I placed a back bet at 1.36 which seemed to be a fairer price and right before lunch it was all taken.

Yesterday I had a small win on Simon v. Thiem and a small live trade win on Williams v. Pavlyuchenkova.

W25

It could have been much worse. I started the week with a bad loss on Nieminen - Gabashvili and a slightly less bad but still bad enough loss on Becker v. Kavcic. Together that put me about €30 back on Monday and it was an uphill battle for the rest of the week.

In the end it turned out to be a quite moderate €6 loss. It's not good but still a very decent recovery. I seem to get around €20 positive a week and that's a fairly constant number. Thing is I need to stop having these bad matches where I lose big. I've tried to cut my losses earlier to avoid making a bad trade into a really bad one. However in both the Nieminen match and the Becker one I couldn't get matched. The market just moved past me and very small amounts were traded at the side I needed.

So far this week I've secured €1 on Göteborg v. AIK and €1.50 on Cibulkova. Matched on Gulbis and Tsonga but still not closed out the trades.

Kitzbühel final

Very strange market this one. Got away on top this time but I was headed for another bad loss this weekend. Before the match, that is yesterday evening before odds were published I had Goffin as a small favorite for the title. He's on an insane roll of wins, three ch-titles in a row and reached the final  for the loss of only one set. Thiem, the home player is good, is promising but is also inconsistent and very very young. Both are playing their first ATP-finals but Goffin is without a doubt the more experienced player and very used to winning after bagging 19 wins in a row.

Surprised to see markets open with Thiem a high 1.70 favorite and I placed a lay bet on him at 1.81 which was taken quickly. Went to bed fairly content that I could wake up and check out a nice profit when markets should have sorted themselves out and drifted out atleast up to evens.

Woke up to see Thiem a 1.73 favorite and €8 red on both players. *sigh*

I decided to red out before breakfast, swallow the loss and get on with it. Ate, sat down to see how the night matches from the US of A turned out and was very  surprised to see Thiem at 1.86. Could literally not believe my eyes. Somehow Thiem moved 13 ticks north in about 30 minutes before 8am a Saturday morning.

Fired up my trading program to see what the heck was going on. Soon noticed odds were bouncing wildly on high volumes between 1.83 and 1.93. Bookies had not moved their odds. Obviously this was my chance to cut some losses. I managed three quick trades each shaving off about €3 from my debt on the market and stopped when the market turned green on me. €2 profit on this one. Soon after I left the market it calmed down. Odds slowly returned to the mid 1.70's and stayed there until the match started. Goffin won in three sets.