Pre match trade Man City v. Sunderland

Lay Man C @ 1.25 to steal one tick. I placed a, for me, massive lay of €500 at 1.25 because the market seemed quite stable at 1.25-1.26 and not with a huge amount of juice which is not usually the case. There are about €1000 in the queue at 1.26 and mine should be somewhere in there. Should not be impossible to get on and win an easy €4.50

Also got one trade on WHU v. WBA where I backed the Hammers at 1.88 and got half my amount out at 1.86. Looking to get the rest taken at 1.88 to win €1 or so.

UPDATE: Out on both markets for a total win of €5 to end 2014. Times to get matched on these high profile, low odds markets are quite long. From first lay bet on City it took 25h to get matched and from the first back bet on City it took another 26h to trade out. This is why I usually avoid these markets but liquidity was unusually low, perhaps with the new year and everything but now it's a sealed win.

Kelly bet Avellino v. Brescia

Back (1) @ 2.20 10:-

UPDATE: 2-0

Pre match trade Rio Ave v. Belenenses

Terrible one so far. Placed a lay for Rio Ave @ 1.92 which was taken quickly and the match started trading in the 1.88 range and it looked like it would drop further. Placed a back at 1.88 to get out at 1.85 or thereabouts and then it just skyrocketed to 2.02 to leave me with a very big red. I haven't closed out the trade yet and will monitor it during the day to see what I can save.

UPDATE: At the worst time today I could cash out a €19 loss but eventually after lots of trading back and forth it ended with a €10 loss. Still very bad but much better.

Kelly bet Sampdoria v. Udinese

Back (1) @ 1.78 5:-

UPDATE: 2-2

Pre match trade Bochum v. Erzgebirge Aue

German 2nd division. Home team looked over priced @ 1.84. Traded out quickly @ avg. 1.81 to win 3Eur on all outcomes.

Could also steal about 1 Eur on Braga v. Ferreira. Didn't get much of my stake @ 1.81 taken.

Kelly bet Ajaccio v. Creteil

Back (1) @ 2.05 10:-

UPDATE: 2-0

Follow my Kelly spreadsheet here

Pre match trades

Will win €1 each on Blackburn and Swindon today. Not exactly according to plan but it's green numbers.

Pre match trade - Celta v. Almeria

It's the same case here really as the Napoli match from the last post. Celta lost five in a row, four in the league and one cup match. Almeria are not great by any means but I think oddsmakers are giving them too little credit and are overestimating Celta. I got some money matched on the lay side at 1.54, not my full stake unfortunately but about €100 which is decent enough. Will try buying it back at 1.58. Already some money taken there so it's moving in the right direction from what it looks like.

UPDATE: According to plan I'm out @ 1.58 €2.50

Pre match trade - Napoli v. Parma

I'm laying Napoli @ avg 1.35. They have had some trouble winning matches lately. In the league they have drawn four and lost one of their last five matches. Parma is a poor team, no doubt about that but 1.35 is still very low odds implying 74% chance for a home win. I don't accept that with Napoli's recent form. I hope to see odds in the high 1.30's before kick off on Thursday evening.

UPDATE: Placed a back @ 1.36, market seems kind of sluggish so I hope to steal one tick and be done with it.

UPDATE: Out @ 1.35 looked like it was trading back down. Much action at 35 almost none at 36. Don't lose money!

Pre match trade Creteil v. Arles

Backed Creteil @ 2.12 and was probably the last matched at this price before it went south so that's nice. I was going to close the bet unmatched earlier today but found that I was not only matched but able to immidiately trade out €3.5 so that's nice.

Pre match trade Brighton v. Millwall

Laying Brighton @ 2.0

Both teams quite poor but I think Brighton is given slightly too much credit. Will start buying back at 2.04.

UPDATE: Got something out @ 2.04 and then at 2.08 and 2.10 AVG @ 2.08 to win €5

Kelly bet St. Etienne v. Lyon

Back (2) @ 2,12 15:-

UPDATE: 2-3 Lyon scored the winning goal in the 94'th minute but that's good enough. :)

Pre match trade Rennes v. Montpellier

Don't understand why Rennes is priced above evens. Much better team and Montpellier have been bad on the road. Got on @ 2.10 and will trade out around evens. Should be a good one if it works all the way. 

UPDATE: Quicker than I thought. Might be an indication that I cashed in too early. Out at 2.02 to win €6.50

Pre match Trade Cardiff v. Rotherham

Cardiff the better team. Got on them on Thursday @ avg odds 1.95. Think they should trade in the low 1.90's before kick off. Starting to sell off @ 1.92.

UPDATE: Done @ 1.92 to win €3, that's almost €10 in total for today.