lördag 4 juli 2015

F1 GB Bets

Williams - Lotus 50 @ 1,10 +5
Perez - Nasr 10 @ 1,40 +4
Nasr - Ericsson 10 @ 1,30 -10
Vettel - Räikkönen 10 @ 1,30 -10
Verstappen - Sainz 10 @ 1,75 -10

Pretty bad weekend this one. Ericsson looked about 0,4 seconds off Nasr all weekend then suddenly found pace in quallies. Räikkönen has made a habit of messing up quallies but was quicker in both FP1 and FP2. That's a bet I shouldn't have made. Stupid me! Verstappen was comfortably quicker then Sainz both FP on Friday but then got handling problems with the car on Saturday and couldn't to anything. 

Should have avoided Vettel - Räikkönen but apart from that I have to put this down as bad luck, which happens when betting.

tisdag 30 juni 2015

Trading report June

This will be a very short post because nothing much happened during June. The football leagues I usually trade, the English and Swedish leagues are on summer holidays so no matches to work with. Tennis is also a little complicated because they are doing a month on grass and since that's a surface rarely used it's much more difficult to get enough data to make predictions on where odds should be and find an advantage in the market.

I've added about €10 to the trading bank which now stands at €980 going in to July.

This weekend it's Formula 1 from Britain so stay tuned for my insights.

lördag 20 juni 2015

F1 Austria Pt 2

FP3 Nasr - Ericsson @ 1,45 Car trouble for Nasr then rain

Q Williams - Lotus @ 1,30
Q FI - Toro Rosso - @ 1,65

fredag 19 juni 2015

F1 Austria

Two bets H-H for Quallies so far:

Kvyat - Ricciardo @ 1.92
Nasr - Ericsson @ 1.35

Will probably be a few more tomorrow when more odds are out. Looks quite close so far as is expected from this track. Pole looks wide open with Vettel quick for Ferrari. Rosberg looking to be the faster Mercedes but Hamilton hasn't had a mistake free fast lap recorded yet so difficult to judge his true pace. Williams scored a surprise front row lockout here last year. Might have to wait until after P3 to know where everyone is.

söndag 7 juni 2015

Race

I've traded Hamilton back and forth a few times, backing 1.42, laying 1.41 which has increased trading profits for the race from 1 to 5 Euros. Now I'm all green and will not do anything more, just sit down and watch the race and hope for a double McLaren DNF and some more cash.

lördag 6 juni 2015

After Quallies


Settled Bets:

€10 Hamilton @ 1.85 to win FP1
€20 Hamilton @ 1.55 to win Q
€10 Nasr @ 1.30 over Ericsson in Q
€10 Hulkenberg @ 1.50 over Perez in Q
€10 Hulkenberg @ 1.50 over Sainz in Q
€10 F1 @ 1.60 over Toro Rosso in Q
€10 Lotus @ 1.50 over Red Bull in Q 
€10 Lotus @ 3.25 over Williams in Q

=  €20,5

Open Bets:
Alonso to DNF @ 3.00
Button to DNF @ 3.00

Qualifying team bets

Lotus v. Williams @ 3,25
Lotus v. Red Bull @ 1,50
Force India v. Toro Rosso @ 1,60